On Break

11/16/2008

BMB On Break

It’s time again for a little BMB R&R, especially with the market behaving as bizarrely as it’s been. Maybe if we stop watching it start to behave a little better…

Posting will be very light and variable over the course of this week, but we’ll put up an open thread each market day for our readers to comment on the day’s market activity or to post any interesting links they might run across.

Check the space below for whatever the latest might be during this ‘off’ time, and please visit the various sites in the ‘Links’ and ‘Regular Stops’ for up-to-date market news and analysis.

BMB will be back in full swing by next weekend.

Posted: 1:00 pm

4/13/2005

Returning to Health - Update

A follow-up to last weekend’s “Returning to Health?” post:

MRK chart Merck gave the big pharmas a shot in the arm today by raising its Q1 guidance.
PPH chart The Pharmaceutical HOLDRs (components) also took off on Merck’s news — the HOLDRS is 24% JNJ, 21% PFE, 10% MRK. In a healthier market, it would make sense to grab some of these stocks here. In this market, I’m not sure anything is going to be allowed to take off, but this is generally an area investors move to for defense. You decide.

 

Charts courtesy of StockCharts.com

Posted: 7:24 pm

At Least There’s Football

The market stinks, but at least football is right around the corner. Sort of. Well, ok, maybe not quite.

But the 2005 NFL schedule has been released!

Posted: 3:31 pm

I B a Mess

IBM chart Quite simply, charts don’t get much uglier than this one of IBM.

 

Chart courtesy of StockCharts.com

Posted: 3:24 pm

Market Wrap

Oh boy. Apparently the market’s turnaround midday yesterday didn’t mean squat, as today the major indices fell right back down near their support levels in a pretty pitiful performance. The Dow finished down 104 points (-1.0%) at 10404, the S&P 500 fell 14 points (-1.1%) to 1174 and the Nasdaq took another drubbing, dropping 31 points (-1.6%) to close at 1974. The Russell 2000 shed 10 points (-1.7%) to 603, the Dow Transports suffered another big breakdown, falling 2.7%, the Dow Utilities lost 0.7% and bonds were down, then up, finishing nearly unchanged on the day, with the 10-year Treasury yield at 4.37%.

As you might expect, market internals were decidedly negative. Volume increased from yesterday on the NYSE but declined on the Nasdaq. Advances/declines ran about 9 to 23 on both exchanges, up/down volume came in at 2 to 7 on the NYSE and a dreadful 3 to 17 on the Nasdaq. New highs/lows were 52/50 on the NYSE and 36/101 on the Nasdaq.

The only groups managing to hang on today were health care issues, with drug stocks gaining 1.4% helped by Merck’s raising of Q1 guidance. On the down side, there was plenty: steel stocks, pummeled again for 4.7%, followed by semiconductors (-2.7%), paper (-2.7%), chemicals (-2.6%), oil services (-2.4%), transports (-2.3%), oil stocks (-2.2%), commodities (-2.0%), gold & silver stocks (-2.0%), housing (-1.9%), disk drives (-1.9%), internets (-1.9%) and broker/dealers (-1.9%). And those are just the worst - there were plenty more.

Crude oil prices fell after the morning inventory data was released, dropping to $50.22/barrel. The dollar index was unchanged and gold prices held near $429/ounce.

The scene remains awfully darned ugly. The market is coming after just about everything and tearing it down, and there doesn’t really seem to be anywhere to hide. All we can do is hope that the support just below current levels holds. If not, who knows where the floor might be?

After the bell: earnings from Apple and AMD.

Posted: 3:20 pm

5-Year Auction a Dud

The Treasury’s auction of 5-year notes today apparently didn’t go as well as was hoped:

Action Economics economist Mike Englund described the auction as “a dog,” adding ‘The notes were just too rich for this market’s appetite.”

Bond prices will need to come down/yields up in order to keep foreigners interested in financing our debt.

Posted: 2:27 pm

Merck Guides Higher

Merck has raised its guidance for first quarter earnings, and the stock price is getting a little pop out of that news today.

It’s been a while since Merck has had any good news.

Posted: 12:05 pm

Crude Drops Below $51

Crude oil prices are taking another dip today, as government inventory data showed increases in both crude oil and gasoline supplies.

I think the financial commentators have finally given up trying to draw the correlation between the stock market and oil prices. Oil prices go up, the market dribbles down. Oil prices go down, the market dribbles down. I just don’t think it matters. Unless maybe oil were to fall to $40 or so. Fat chance.

Posted: 12:00 pm

Retail Sales Up Slightly

Retail sales posted only a slight 0.3% increase in March. And what is blamed for the weak showing? Of course, the same thing that gets blamed every time - the weather.

Gimme a break. I’m sick and tired of retailers always blaming the weather when sales are weak. That is such a lame excuse, and they use it every single time. Never, ever, is the idea that consumers are actually buying less even considered, nor do they ever tell us that good sales numbers can be credited to nice weather.

Posted: 8:03 am