On Break

11/16/2008

BMB On Break

It’s time again for a little BMB R&R, especially with the market behaving as bizarrely as it’s been. Maybe if we stop watching it start to behave a little better…

Posting will be very light and variable over the course of this week, but we’ll put up an open thread each market day for our readers to comment on the day’s market activity or to post any interesting links they might run across.

Check the space below for whatever the latest might be during this ‘off’ time, and please visit the various sites in the ‘Links’ and ‘Regular Stops’ for up-to-date market news and analysis.

BMB will be back in full swing by next weekend.

Posted: 1:00 pm

6/3/2005

Market Wrap

A weak May jobs report and the prospect for continued rate hikes didn’t go over big on Wall Street today, as the major indices all took a dive to end the week. The Dow Industrials dropped 93 points (-0.9%) to 10461, the S&P 500 lost 8 points (-0.7%) to 1196 and the Nasdaq fell 26 points (-1.3%) to 2071. The Russell 2000 lost 9 points (-0.8%) to 620, and the Dow Transports fell 0.6% while the Dow Utilities gained 0.2%. Bonds rallied after the morning jobs report, then sold off sharply the rest of the day, first pushing the 10-year yield down near 3.80%, but closing with the yield all the way back up at 3.98%. I wonder if today’s huge reversal will set the stage for higher yields over the next few weeks.

Market internals were negative, but volume stayed on the light side. Advances/declines were 6/7 on the NYSE and 5/8 on the Nasdaq. Up/down volume ran 3/5 on the NYSE and 2/7 on the Nasdaq. New highs/low came in at 198/24 on the NYSE and 82/26 on the Nasdaq.

There were a few winners on the day, those being HMOs (+1.3%), gold & silver stocks (+0.9%) and oil services (+0.8%). Losers were led by biotechs (-2.1%), computer hardware (-1.9%), internets (-1.7%), housing (-1.3%), semiconductors (-1.3%), retailers (-1.3%), disk drives (-1.1%) and networking (-1.0%).

Crude oil continued its cruise higher, gaining $1.40 today to $55.03/barrel. The dollar index moved up 0.3% in response to the higher bond yields, with the dollar index gaining 0.3% to 88.06. Gold edged up to $423/ounce.

Posted: 3:11 pm

May Job Number Disappoints

The May jobs report showed only 78,000 jobs were added, much lower than the 185,000 or so that were expected. On the plus side, unemployment remained at 5.1%. Bonds rallied on the weak jobs report, pushing yields even lower.

Despite the report of the lowest growth in jobs since summer of 2003, we had to hear Larry Kudlow on CNBC tell us what a great number this was, and how it was great for stocks. According to that man, absolutely everything is great for stocks. I used to think that Kudlow was interesting to listen to and knew what he was talking about - and maybe he did. But now he has turned into the biggest stock market cheerleader around.

Update: See? The market thought the jobs report was such good news, the Dow is down 93 points and the Nasdaq down 25. Interesting also that the bond market has made a big reversal from the morning. After the jobs report came out, the 10-year yield dipped to 3.80%. So far at mid-day, that yield is now 3.94%. I think the bond market may be realizing that it’s quite overbought, with the 30-year yield falling to near all-time lows this morning, especially after one of the Fed governors has commented on the future of Fed fund rate hikes. They might not be done…

Crude oil prices aren’t helping matters, as they continue to move higher, now at $54.40/barrel.

Posted: 8:15 am