On Break

11/16/2008

BMB On Break

It’s time again for a little BMB R&R, especially with the market behaving as bizarrely as it’s been. Maybe if we stop watching it start to behave a little better…

Posting will be very light and variable over the course of this week, but we’ll put up an open thread each market day for our readers to comment on the day’s market activity or to post any interesting links they might run across.

Check the space below for whatever the latest might be during this ‘off’ time, and please visit the various sites in the ‘Links’ and ‘Regular Stops’ for up-to-date market news and analysis.

BMB will be back in full swing by next weekend.

Posted: 1:00 pm

6/8/2005

The Fear Factor

CBOE put-call chart I’ve been watching the CBOE Equity put/call ratio for signs of a market top - this ratio generally makes peaks near market bottoms and troughs near market tops. Here we see that the 10-day moving average has clearly reversed and is heading higher, now meeting the falling 21-day MA. Unless things change soon, that 21-day moving average will bottom out and begin to move higher as well. It looks to me like this rally is losing steam fast, and the poor action of the past two days has helped to reinforce that view.
Posted: 4:36 pm

Market Wrap

Hey look, it did it again.

Another day, another reversal, as the major indices came down from modest gains to finish in the red for the second straight day, albeit on lower volume than yesterday’s. The media will blame today’s reversal on the release of the White House economic forecast. Blame what you want - a down day is a down day.

The Dow Industrials were off by 6 points (-0.1%) at 10477, the S&P 500 dropped 3 points (-0.2%) to 1195 and the Nasdaq fell 7 points (-0.3%) to 2060. The Russell 2000 lost 3 points (-0.5%) to 620, the Dow Transports tumbled 2.1%, the Dow Utilities edged higher by 0.1% and bonds held relatively steady, with the yield on the 10-year note edging up to 3.94%.

Market internals were mostly negative, with advances/declines 7/9 on the NYSE and 13/17 on the Nasdaq, up/down volume 4/5 on both exhanges and new highs/lows 140/31 on the NYSE and 67/41 on the Nasdaq.

No major moves to the upside today, and the losers were led by transportation stocks, which were slammed for a 2.7% loss, followed by airlines (-1.5%) and housing stocks (-1.5%).

Crude oil prices had a wild ride, spiking higher in the morning following the release of the government’s inventory data, then sold off as the day wore on, finishing down more than a dollar at $52.54/barrel. The dollar bounced higher midday, pushing the dollar index up 0.5% to 87.94. Gold hung around the $424/ounce level.

BMB Note: I haven’t been feeling that great about this rally, thinking that the action just seemed way too tired to continue, and the last two days have only made that feeling stronger. As long as the internals were holding up I thought the market could still move higher, but the reversals of the last two days are not encouraging, and the drubbing in the transports today isn’t very good news at all. Maybe we’re just in for a correction here, but things don’t feel that solid to me. Of course, a lot of stocks are still in good shape, and we don’t have a lot of real breakdowns. Yet. We’ll see where it goes.

Posted: 2:56 pm

Cash and the Google Monster

David Nassar at Marketwatch says that cash isn’t a bad idea until the market plays its hand, and talks about how to play Google - if you want to play it at all.

Posted: 6:13 am