On Break

11/16/2008

BMB On Break

It’s time again for a little BMB R&R, especially with the market behaving as bizarrely as it’s been. Maybe if we stop watching it start to behave a little better…

Posting will be very light and variable over the course of this week, but we’ll put up an open thread each market day for our readers to comment on the day’s market activity or to post any interesting links they might run across.

Check the space below for whatever the latest might be during this ‘off’ time, and please visit the various sites in the ‘Links’ and ‘Regular Stops’ for up-to-date market news and analysis.

BMB will be back in full swing by next weekend.

Posted: 1:00 pm

7/12/2005

Lack of Interest

Nasdaq volume One concern still nagging the bulls is the lack of volume accompanying the latest rally. In this chart of Nasdaq trading volume, we can clearly see the rise in volume during the rally last autumn, beginning in September. Looking at 2005, we see that volume has continued to decline ever since the market drop in January. Even the May/June rally hasn’t done much to perk up the volume numbers. Granted, it is summertime, but you would think that a moving market might make a few more waves…

 

Chart courtesy of StockCharts.com

Posted: 3:22 pm

Market Wrap

The major indices never wandered too far from home today, spending most of the morning just below the flat line, most of the afternoon above it, then running out of steam into the close. The Dow Industrials finished with a slight loss of 6 points (-0.1%) at 10514, the S&P 500 gained 3 points (+0.2%) to 1222 and the Nasdaq added 8 points (+0.4%) to 2143. The Russell 200 dropped 1 point (-0.1%) to 671, the Dow Transports fell back by 0.7%, the Dow Utilities gained 0.5% and bonds slipped somewhat, with the yield on the 10-year note edging up to 4.14%.

Market internals were positive on rather average volume. Advances/declines were 11/8 on the NYSE, but only just better than flat on the Nasdaq. Up/down volume looked better, at 12/7 on both exchanges. New highs/lows still going strong at 395/23 on the NYSE and 194/20 on the Nasdaq.

Movements within the industries were a little more muted today, with networkers leading the way higher with a gain of 2.1%, followed by oil services (+1.5%), retailers (+1.2%), natural gas stocks (+1.0%), oil stocks (+1.0%) and semiconductors (+1.0%). Heading lower were the airlines (-1.9%) and hospitals (-1.2%).

Crude oil prices continued their rebound, jumping another $1.70 to $60.62/barrel. The dollar index got slammed for another 1.2% today, falling to 88.42. Gold prices held near $427/ounce.

Posted: 3:09 pm

Market View

Gary Kaltbaum says there are a lot of good things going on in the market. And I can’t argue. There are.

But, as if to follow up on our look at market sentiment yesterday, he warns:

Lastly, sentiment stinks. All our measures are much too bullish…which is bearish. We never want to play with the masses and the wrong way crowd. This is a secondary indicator though…but just wanted to keep you abreast of it. The VIX and VXN remain at multi-year lows indicating complacency. The % of bullish advisors is too high and bearish advisors are too low…and lastly, except for the normal perma-bears who would remain bearish if the Dow went to 20,000, there are just too many bulls out there.

Posted: 12:48 pm

Non-Moving Day

Pretty quiet in the markets today - except where oil and the dollar are concerned.

Crude is up $1.88 to $60.80/barrel. This has sent airline stocks down 2.5%, while oil services are up 1.0%. And the dollar is getting smacked around pretty good for the second day in a row.

Oh yeah - networkers are up on an 8% move in Alcatel (say what?) on raised guidance, a 4% gain in Avaya and 3% in Lucent. Whatever. Note however, when you’re talking $12, $8 and $3 stocks, it doesn’t take a lot to move them a healthy percentage.

Posted: 11:04 am

BP Rig Troubles

One of BP’s large oil rigs in the Gulf of Mexico, planned to come on line later this year, appears to be well, leaning a bit after the passing of Hurricane Dennis.

Oil prices snuck back above $59 overnight, currently at $59.58.

Posted: 8:08 am