On Break

11/16/2008

BMB On Break

It’s time again for a little BMB R&R, especially with the market behaving as bizarrely as it’s been. Maybe if we stop watching it start to behave a little better…

Posting will be very light and variable over the course of this week, but we’ll put up an open thread each market day for our readers to comment on the day’s market activity or to post any interesting links they might run across.

Check the space below for whatever the latest might be during this ‘off’ time, and please visit the various sites in the ‘Links’ and ‘Regular Stops’ for up-to-date market news and analysis.

BMB will be back in full swing by next weekend.

Posted: 1:00 pm

8/1/2005

Cramer Scam Watch

I know we’ve been through this before, like here and here. But, just to reinforce the idea that you shouldn’t be playing the sucker in this game…

The stock tonight was NOV. You after-market freaks are trading it like nuts, right around 54.95. Of course, he told a lot of other people to buy NOV before he told you on the TV show, and they beat you to it. They always do, day after day. NOV was already up 3% today to 53.94 on almost twice the average volume. Now you’re bidding it up another dollar. Who do you think is selling it to you?? Yup, those other people who bought it earlier today. This is so obvious that I’m amazed it’s still working.

If you buy on this guy’s recommendations, all you’re doing is lining other people’s pockets. Don’t let ‘em have your money. Oh, and if you don’t watch the show until the delayed rerun, you’ll be the absolute last one in. Talk about being late to the party - every single night!

You have been warned.

Posted: 5:40 pm

Market Wrap

The market fought off record oil prices and higher bond yields today, but the major indices pulled back from their highs to finished mixed. The Dow Industrials index lagged yet again, dropping 18 points (-0.2%) to 10623. The S&P 500 was up 1 point (+0.1%) to 1235. The Nasdaq had the best day of the three majors, punching through the 22o0 mark but unable to saty there, finishing with a gain of 11 points (+0.5%) to 2195. The Russell 2000 was just shy of another high at 683, up 3 points (+0.5%). The Dow Transports were up 0.2% while the Utilities fell 1.2% on the higher interest rates. Bonds were lower sending those rates higher, pushing the 5-year up to 4.16% and the 10-year to 4.32%.

Market internals were good, but volume was a little on the light side. Advances/declines were 5 to 4 on both exchanges, and up/down volume was just better than 3 to 2 on each. New highs/lows were 309/15 on the NYSE and 243/17 on the Nasdaq.

Looking at the various groups, we see winners in HMOs (+1.8%), oil services (+1.3%), biotechs (+1.2%), oil stocks (+1.1) and natural resources (+1.0%). Losing ground were the utilities (-1.3%).

Crude oil pushed to a new intra-day high above $62 before pulling back, finishing up a buck at $61.57/barrel. The dollar got smacked around pretty good by other major currencies, sending the dollar index down 0.6% to 88.87. It remains to be seen whether this latest weakness in the dollar is merely a pullback in the dollar rally that began last December, or if this last 8 months has really been a counter-trend move in the longer dollar downtrend. The fall in the greenback has been pushing up the price of gold, which moved above $432/ounce today. But so far, that move in the bullion hasn’t helped gold stocks a great deal.

The market is still holding up well in the face of the higher interest rates and crude oil prices that threaten to take it down. We’ll see how long it lasts.

Posted: 3:18 pm

July Manufacturing Index Up

The Institute for Supply Management’s July manufacturing report was good news on the economic front.

Posted: 1:37 pm

Monday Morning Outlook

The weekly outlook from Schaeffer’s says there are plenty of reasons to be cautious here.

Posted: 9:34 am

Early Notes

Oil at $61, yields up (5 yr @ 4.13%, 10 yr @ 4.30%), gold up, dollar down.

The media will tell you that oil is up on the death of Saudi Arabia’s King Fahd, but that’s baloney - crude was already trading above $61 last night before he died.

Posted: 7:59 am