On Break

11/16/2008

BMB On Break

It’s time again for a little BMB R&R, especially with the market behaving as bizarrely as it’s been. Maybe if we stop watching it start to behave a little better…

Posting will be very light and variable over the course of this week, but we’ll put up an open thread each market day for our readers to comment on the day’s market activity or to post any interesting links they might run across.

Check the space below for whatever the latest might be during this ‘off’ time, and please visit the various sites in the ‘Links’ and ‘Regular Stops’ for up-to-date market news and analysis.

BMB will be back in full swing by next weekend.

Posted: 1:00 pm

8/8/2005

Simmons Interview Transcript

As promised yesterday, here is the link to the transcipt of the Matthew Simmons interview on the Financial Sense Newshour this past weekend. Read the transcript or listen to the interview and be informed on what all the fuss is about when it comes to the world’s oil supply.

Posted: 5:30 pm

Look Out Below

$DJR chart Just about any stock having to do with real estate has been under severe attack the last couple of trading days. Here we see a chart of the Dow Jones REIT index, which has now sliced cleanly through both its 20-day and 50-day moving averages.
HGX chart The Philadelphia (PHLX) Housing Index doesn’t look much better, and a lot of the homebuilders’ charts look a lot like this one — or worse.

 

Charts courtesy of StockCharts.com

Posted: 3:24 pm

Market Wrap

Oil was the talk of the town today, setting another new record high at $63.94/barrel, helped by warnings of a terror threat in Saudi Arabia. The record high oil prices and continued high interest rates were not friendly to stocks, bringing the major indices down yet again. The Dow Industrials gave up 21 points (-0.2%) to 10537, the S&P 500 was 3 points (-0.3%) to 1223 and the Nasdaq fell another 14 points (-0.6%) to 2164. The Russell 2000 also lost more ground, losing 3 points (-0.5%) to 660. The Dow Transports held up well under the high oil prices, falling only 0.1%. The Dow Utilities dropped another 1.9% and bonds struggled as well, pushing the yield on the 5-year note up to 4.28% and the 10-year to 4.42%.

About the only good news was that volume wasn’t too heavy, but the rest of the market internals weren’t much to brag about. Advances/declines were 3/5 on the NYSE and 2/3 on the Nasdaq. Up/down volume was 7/9 on the NYSE and 1/2 on the Nasdaq. New highs/lows came in at 122/42 on the NYSE and 80/33 on the Nasdaq.

The biggest gains and losses were limited to a few groups: the energy related stocks and interest rate sensitive issues, for the most part. Moving higher were steel stocks (+2.1%), oil stocks (+1.9%), oil services (+1.3%), natural resources (+1.2%) and commodities (0.9%). Heading lower were REITs (-3.5%), housing stocks (-2.2%), biotechs (-2.1%), utilities (-2.0%) and semiconductors (-1.1%).

Crude oil touched the $64 mark for the first time, and finished at $63.94/barrel, up $1.63. The dollar was mixed against other currencies, and the dollar index finished down slightly at 87.98. The price of gold fell to near $435.

Posted: 3:15 pm

Japan Dissolves Parliament

A major world economy is in political turmoil, and what do we get for a headline on Yahoo’s front page instead?? “Japan iTunes sells 1M songs in four days.”

Well, at least the headline has something to do with Japan…

The political upheaval is putting pressure on the Yen, as you might expect.

Posted: 12:15 pm

ChartWatchers Newsletter

A new edition of the ChartWatchers Newsletter from StockCharts.com was made available over the weekend. This week, John Murphy sees some indications of weakness in the S&P, Carl Swenlin sees strength in gold - but maybe only short-term, and Arthur Hill says that breadth is still strong.

Posted: 11:06 am

Early Take

The breakdown in the REITs and housing stocks continues today, and is now starting to look pretty serious. REITs down another 2.5% and housing stocks another 2.0% on the day, leading the pack on the losing side. Winners so far are oil stocks (+2.3%), steel stocks (+2.0%), natural resources (+2.0%) and oil services (+1.9%).

Posted: 10:47 am

New Highs in Crude

Crude oil prices teased the $64 mark before easing back, currently at $63.70/barrel, easily setting new intraday highs.

Posted: 10:35 am

Monday Morning Outlook

More ammo for the pullback case from Schaeffer’s.

Posted: 10:32 am

Overnight

Lemme see…the shuttle didn’t land because of weather, Peter Jennings passed away (I didn’t even know he was ill). The dollar is down a little (more against the pound), and oil is up - setting new record highs near $63.

Index futures are up a bit, but so are bond yields, with the 5-year at 4.25% and the 10-year at 4.41.

Posted: 7:42 am