On Break

11/16/2008

BMB On Break

It’s time again for a little BMB R&R, especially with the market behaving as bizarrely as it’s been. Maybe if we stop watching it start to behave a little better…

Posting will be very light and variable over the course of this week, but we’ll put up an open thread each market day for our readers to comment on the day’s market activity or to post any interesting links they might run across.

Check the space below for whatever the latest might be during this ‘off’ time, and please visit the various sites in the ‘Links’ and ‘Regular Stops’ for up-to-date market news and analysis.

BMB will be back in full swing by next weekend.

Posted: 1:00 pm

12/11/2005

Runnin’ Scared

Bill Fleckenstein says that Ben Bernanke scares him, and Gentle Ben doesn’t take office for about 6 weeks yet. And the Fed discussion leads Fleck into a discussion of gold, specifically Newmont Mining.

If you’d like to read the article on Bernanke that Fleck refers to, you can find it here.

Posted: 7:09 pm

What’s Hot, What’s Not

Items of note on the latest industry moves:

  • Commodities/materials stocks dominating the ‘best’ list. How much longer can the run go? You might want to tread lightly in those areas, as there are bound to be corrections coming.
  • Oil services are easily the strongest in the energy group. The Oil Services index (OSX) could be getting a little extended here as well.
  • More red starting to show up on the ‘worst’ list.
  • Most of health care still struggling.

 

Best Performing Industries
Last Week Last 4 Weeks Last 8 Weeks
Gold & Silver +5.8% Oil Services +14.8% Steel +23.2%
Natural Gas +3.1% Paper +11.7% Paper +20.1%
Oil Services +2.9% Gold & Silver +10.5% Oil Services +18.3%
Disk Drives +2.2% Natural Gas +9.8% Gold & Silver +15.0%
Comp. Hardware +1.8% Natural Resources +9.6% Broker/Dealers +14.5%

 

 

Worst Performing Industries
Last Week Last 4 Weeks Last 8 Weeks
Housing -2.1% Airlines -3.0% Drugs -3.5%
Transportation -2.1% Drugs -2.4% Defense 0.0%
Semiconductors -1.7% Transportation -1.6% Health Care +2.0%
Internet -1.1% Software -1.0% Health Care Prods. +3.0%
Airlines -1.0% Retail -0.1% Hospitals +3.6%
Posted: 11:30 am

Op-Ed from Hong Kong

I’d say that we don’t do a lot of Op-Ed on BMB, but the truth is, we swing opinions into almost every post. Now, from HK, we hear some observations and opinion from WK:

There are three “entities” to China—China Mainland, Taiwan and Hong Kong. Investment opportunities are different in each. The majority of money made in HK is in real estate or is retail related while China has broader range of opportunities. Right now, China is like the US was in the 20’s during the industrial revolution. It is a gold mine where everyone wants a stake. China has 4 times the population of US. While everyone in US already owns “everything” (i.e. car, TV, cell phone, etc), many Chinese just now have the disposable income—and they are looking to spend it.

Culturally, people in China are becoming more materialistic. Just as in the US, they want to let others know they have the money to buy goods and services. There is much money to be made in mainland Chinese.

What about Taiwan? Taiwan has lost some of its shine because high tech, specifically semi-conductors, has passed its prime and has not yet evolved into something new. Taiwan had a very strong economy during the 90’s because of the semiconductor manufacturing industry.

Right now, Hong Kong is better able to capitalize on China’s growth in a way that Taiwan cannot, mainly due to political issues. While Taiwan is busy with its claim of independence from China, Hong Kong is already a part of China—granted, Hong Kong is treated in a special manner by China because of its former standing and already booming economy. It is a gold mine that China does not want to see go bust.
It has been more difficult for China and Taiwan to do business. The good news is that the business relationship seems to be improving. There are now direct flights across the strait between China and Taiwan. And Taiwanese have started to invest into China, and cater to growing wants and needs of the population there.

Posted: 9:11 am
Filed in More Stuff: China - Hong Kong

Addicted

You might as well face it, we’re addicted to foreign money (apologies to Robert Palmer). Even the AP, picked up by Yahoo, has figured it out.

Posted: 8:58 am