On Break

11/16/2008

BMB On Break

It’s time again for a little BMB R&R, especially with the market behaving as bizarrely as it’s been. Maybe if we stop watching it start to behave a little better…

Posting will be very light and variable over the course of this week, but we’ll put up an open thread each market day for our readers to comment on the day’s market activity or to post any interesting links they might run across.

Check the space below for whatever the latest might be during this ‘off’ time, and please visit the various sites in the ‘Links’ and ‘Regular Stops’ for up-to-date market news and analysis.

BMB will be back in full swing by next weekend.

Posted: 1:00 pm

3/1/2006

February Auto Sales

Nothing new here. Sales on the decline for the two biggest automakers, and sales on the rise for the foreign makers.

Posted: 4:46 pm

A Twelve-Step Program

Dave Landry (of TradingMarkets.com) offers his twelve steps to help you improve your trading.

Posted: 4:38 pm

Market Wrap

Well, the market behaved as though nothing happened yesterday, with the Nasdaq gaining back all of its losses and then some. The Dow recovered 60 points of yesterday’s fall, up 0.6% to 11054. The S&P 500 was up 11 points (+0.8%) to 1291, and the Nasdaq was the star of the day, adding 33 points (+1.5%) to 2315. The Russell 2000 hit another new closing high, gaining 12 points (+1.6%) to 742. The Dow Transports also regained new-high status, up 1.8% while the Utilities were down 0.3%. Bonds were mostly lower, pushing yields up. We find 6-month rates at 4.74%, 2-year at 4.70%, 5-year at 4.63%, 10-year at 4.59% and the 30-year at 4.56%.

Market internals almost completely reversed from yesterday: advances/declines were 11 to 5 on each exchange, with up/down volume 3 to 1 on the NYSE and 4 to 1 on the Nasdaq. New highs/lows were 171/26 on the NYSE and 180/37 on the Nasdaq.

The group picture was reversed as well, with nearly every group gaining ground. Semiconductors led the way, zooming up 4.3%, followed by networking stocks (+3.9%), steel stocks (+3.1%), disk drives (+2.9%), oil services (+2.0%), computer technology (+1.9%), internets (+1.8%), oil stocks (+1.8%), transports (+1.8%), natural resources (+1.7%), software (+1.6%), precious metals stocks (+1.6%), computer hardware (+1.5%), telecom (+1.4%) and airlines (+1.4%).

Energy prices were somewhat higher, with crude oil inching up to $61.97/barrel. The big move was in gasoline, up to $1.62/gallon, while natural gas was pretty much unchanged at $6.73/mmBTU. The dollar recovered to 90.24 after a lousy day yesterday, and the price of gold held fairly firm at $563/ounce.

BMB Note: I’m sorry. I can’t make heads or tails out of this mess. How in the world can you get a handle on things when you’ve got the Nasdaq down 26 points one day and up 33 points the next? That’s nuts.

Tech stocks and metals were zooming today. Why? I have no idea. The problem with this market is that there’s very little consistency. There’s a lot of thrashing around from day to day, as investors run from one group to another, and very few groups seem to making much headway. There are some good individual stocks, and some bad ones. You have to be lucky enough to be in the few good names to make any money. That’s the bottom line, at least for now. You just can’t make broad bets in one direction or another, and that makes for tough sledding. But since you have contrasting days back-to-back, it does expose some things. You can look for stocks that were strong during yesterday’s lousy action, and stay away from stocks that did poorly when things were going well today.

Posted: 3:24 pm

February ISM Index Up

One piece of data that is helping stocks today is an increase in the ISM index for February.

Posted: 2:19 pm

Early Take

A modest bounce back from yesterday’s ugliness, with things looking much healthier right now than they did yesterday afternoon. The major indices are showing slight gains, and breadth is positive. More groups are up than down, and the leaders are a mixture: semiconductors, steel stocks, networking, precious metals, computer tech, disk drives and oil services. Bonds are a little lower, yields up on the long end.

Energy prices are slightly higher, with the morning inventory report coming in pretty much as expected. The dollar is up a bit, and gold prices have edged up to about $565/ounce.

Posted: 10:19 am

Google Follow-Up

Normally, I don’t pay a lot of attention to Google stock. But when something happens like it did yesterday, you can’t just ignore it. Here’s a little follow-up to yesterday’s debacle: the press statement issued by Google after the bell, and some analysis of their rocky relationship with Wall Street from Business Week.

Posted: 9:16 am

Orderly Pullback

Gary Kaltbaum says that yesterday’s action looks like just an orderly pullback - so far. As we all know, things can change quickly these days. Here’s his take, and what he’s watching.

Posted: 9:03 am

Personal Income

The Commerce Department is out with their monthly personal income and spending numbers. Since we know that the numbers are all ‘adjusted’, I’ll let you decide what they really mean:

U.S. personal incomes rose 0.7% in January, but higher inflation eroded most of the gains, the Commerce Department reported Wednesday.

Real disposable incomes — after inflation and after taxes — increased 0.1% in January, the weakest gain since August. Real disposable incomes are up 2.2% in the past 12 months.

Real consumer spending — adjusted for inflation — increased 0.4% in January, the weakest growth since October.

Posted: 8:54 am

A Look at DBC

The new commodity ETF, tracking the Deutsche Bank Liquid Commodity Index, is getting some attention. Here’s an article I came across this morning.

Posted: 8:50 am