On Break

11/16/2008

BMB On Break

It’s time again for a little BMB R&R, especially with the market behaving as bizarrely as it’s been. Maybe if we stop watching it start to behave a little better…

Posting will be very light and variable over the course of this week, but we’ll put up an open thread each market day for our readers to comment on the day’s market activity or to post any interesting links they might run across.

Check the space below for whatever the latest might be during this ‘off’ time, and please visit the various sites in the ‘Links’ and ‘Regular Stops’ for up-to-date market news and analysis.

BMB will be back in full swing by next weekend.

Posted: 1:00 pm

8/5/2006

Sitting Duck

Volkmar Hable is pretty bearish on the market, and has been for some time. But that’s not the point I’d like you to take away from his column this week.

You can be bullish if you’d like, or you can be bearish as all get-out, it doesn’t matter. You still have to understand, and implement, a plan of risk management:

I had an extraordinarily funny comment by an angry reader last week who suggested that FTSE and DAX should reach 30,000 respectively. The reason for her anger: her investment advisors believes in that obviously extremely bullish scenario and invested all her savings into long positions. She continued that my - quote: “…warnings of an impending decline makes her so nervous that she cannot sleep anymore and that I should stop writing such frightening and stupid things…” Apart from the obviously very risky assumption of a strong rally next year, her comments reflect a complete lack of risk management, which is the reason that I am mentioning this issue anyway in this week’s investment Commentary. I have had repeatedly questions concerning “how much money” one should invest, and I would like to answer this collectively here…

Read his response to the reader, and realize that you, too, must have a plan. It’s great when things are going your way. But when they’re not, you have to know what you’re going to do to stay in the game. Remember: Never lose big.

One should never risk his/her your hard earned money with foolish assumptions on possible phantasy profits. If you do, you will be a sitting duck for the mother of all losses.

Posted: 6:40 pm
Filed in Investing 101: Trading Wisdom

Just Can’t Win

So the government tries to give some of the people’s tax money back, and wouldn’t you know, a bunch of people are unhappy about it.

Damned if you do, damned if you don’t.

Posted: 2:04 pm

Weekend Sector Scan

XLE chart Energy stocks have made their way back to the top of this list, but didn’t do much this week.
XLU chart Utilities had gotten a little extended, and also took the week off - along with just about every sector.
XLV chart Health care stocks had the worst week, but that hasn’t done much damage to their big move yet.
XLB chart Basic Materials stocks had the best week, but the XLB is still trying to gather itself after some rough times.
XLI chart Industrials are bringing up the rear, and have been just dragging along the bottom for a couple of weeks now.

 

The numbers after a lot of thrashing around getting nowhere this week:

 

Sector Symbol 8 Week % Chg. 4 Week % Chg. 1 Week % Chg. YTD % Chg.
Energy XLE +9.6 +2.0 +0.1 +15.0
Utilities XLU +4.9 +4.8 +0.2 +8.5
Health Care XLV +4.6 +4.6 -0.6 +0.3
Consumer Staples XLP +4.0 +1.6 +0.2 +6.2
Basic Materials XLB +2.0 -2.0 +1.3 +3.0
Financials XLF +1.7 +2.8 +0.4 +5.0
Technology XLK -0.9 -1.1 -0.4 -5.5
Consumer Discretionary XLY -2.1 -1.4 +0.6 -0.6
Industrials XLI -2.4 -3.6 +0.1 +2.0

 

Charts courtesy of StockCharts.com

Posted: 11:32 am