No Plan
Some good stuff over at naked capitalism this morning.
First there’s the “Geithner Plan Smackdown Wrap”:
I cannot recall a major US policy initiative being met with as much immediate revulsion as the so-called Geithner plan. Even the horrific TARP, which showed utter contempt for Congress and the American public was in some ways less troubling. Paulson demanded $700 billion, nearly $200 billion bigger than the Department of Defense, via a three page draft bill, nothing more that a doodle on a napkin, save that it did bother to put the Treasury secretary above the law. But high-handedness was the hallmark of the Bush Administration; it was only the scale and audacity of the TARP that was the stunner.
And the TARP initially did have some supporters (perhaps most important, among the media, who trumpeted the “Something must be done” case). Fans are much harder to find for the latest iteration of the seemingly neverending “let’s throw more money at the banks” saga.
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Treasury Secretary Geithner presented today what in essence was a plan to come up with a plan. I now understand why he is so loath to have government run banks. He presumably sees himself as an elite bureaucrat, as his glittering resume attests. Yet the man has a deadline to come up with a proposal, yet puts off presenting it twice (the “oh he has to work on the stimulus bill” is as close to “the dog ate my homework” as I have ever seen in adult life). What he served up as an initiative is weeks to months, depending on the item, away from being operational (if even then; the public-private asset purchase program will either not see the light of day, or be far narrower and smaller than what is needed).
And in case you think I am being unfair, yesterday I got an e-mail from a political consultant who got a report on the Senate Banking Committee briefing by the Treasury the night before the announcement. No briefing books, no documents. He deemed it to be no plan. That assessment was confirmed today by a participant at the session, who said that the details were so thin that one staffer asked, “So what, exactly, is the plan?” and repeated questions from one persistent Senator got “absolutely no answers”.
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…so long as you’re dealing with the old management and so long as you’re dealing with the old practices and so long as you don’t have a clean audit of the books, the chances are that the bank is going to behave in ways which are not constructive, which do not contribute to the growth of the economy, and which leave all kinds of suspicions present in the system about the integrity of the institution and of the regulatory process. And that’s the problem the Treasury Department seems to be determined not to face.
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Tony Crescenzi, an analyst at Miller Tabak:
It remains extremely uncertain how the Treasury will entice investors to do something they have been avoiding since the start of the crisis.
Indeed.
Then there’s this one. As long as the government is in ‘toss more money around’ mode, they might have to shovel some more over toward Fannie and Freddie. And not just a little bit more. How ’bout a couple hundred billion?
Black Hole Alert: Fannie, Freddie Cash Needs May Exceed $200 Billion
Oh, and one other little thing. The Chinese are on the phone — they’d like some guarantees on their debt holdings. Yeah, wouldn’t we all. I’d like some ‘guarantees’ that this country is going to be here past next week…
Yee gods. It just never stops.
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And don’t give congress a pass on that Tarp bill either–they passed it. bush just suggested it. And despite a public that demanded congress NOT pass it, they passed it anyway. Now they sit and whine that there is no oversight–all while getting ready to pass a Stimulus bill that isn’t well-received by a tired and broke public either.
The best plan Geithner can come up with at this point is no plan. They’ll do less harm that way.
Comment by Maria — 2/11/2009 @ 1:40 pm